MIssouri Governor Race Poll - St. Louis Dispatch Jan 2008

Missouri governor race poll - January 2008 01/28/2008 The Research 2000 Missouri Poll was conducted by Research 2000 of Rockville, MD from January 21 through January 24, 2008. A total of 800 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone. Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county. The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 3.5% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or region. FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION CLAIRE MCCASKILL 51% 41% 8% FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION MATT BLUNT 41% 56% 3% JAY NIXON 49% 42% 9% QUESTION: How would you rate the performance of Matt Blunt as Governor; excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor? EXCELLENT GOOD FAIR POOR NOT SURE ALL 4% 37% 45% 13% 1% MEN 5% 41% 41% 12% 1% WOMEN 3% 33% 49% 14% 1% DEMOCRATS 3% 18% 62% 17% - REPUBLICANS 5% 62% 21% 10% 2% INDEPENDENTS 4% 31% 52% 12% 1% ST. LOUIS CITY 1% 24% 55% 19% 1% ST. LOUIS SUB 3% 35% 46% 15% 1% KANSAS CITY 2% 32% 47% 18% 1% NORTH/SE 5% 43% 43% 8% 1% SOUTHWEST 5% 45% 41% 8% 1% QUESTION: How would you rate the performance of Jay Nixon as Attorney General; excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor? EXCELLENT GOOD FAIR POOR NOT SURE ALL 7% 43% 32% 6% 12% MEN 6% 40% 36% 7% 11% WOMEN 8% 46% 28% 5% 13% DEMOCRATS 12% 67% 13% 2% 6% REPUBLICANS 3% 14% 53% 12% 18% INDEPENDENTS 5% 46% 33% 4% 12% ST. LOUIS CITY 11% 56% 20% 4% 9% ST. LOUIS SUB 8% 45% 31% 5% 11% KANSAS CITY 9% 47% 31% 4% 9% NORTH/SE 5% 37% 35% 8% 15% SOUTHWEST 4% 36% 36% 10% 14% QUESTION: If the 2008 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choice were between Jay Nixon, the Democrat, and Matt Blunt, the Republican? NIXON BLUNT UNDECIDED ALL 50% 41% 9% MEN 46% 46% 8% WOMEN 54% 36% 10% DEMOCRATS 85% 8% 7% REPUBLICANS 7% 84% 9% INDEPENDENTS 57% 31% 12% WHITE 45% 47% 8% BLACK 77% 9% 14% OTHER 74% 11% 15% 18-29 53% 38% 9% 30-44 47% 43% 10% 45-59 50% 41% 9% 60+ 51% 40% 9% UNION 64% 28% 8% NON-UNION 46% 45% 9% ST. LOUIS CITY 69% 24% 7% ST. LOUIS SUB 54% 36% 10% KANSAS CITY 56% 35% 9% NORTH/SE 41% 50% 9% SOUTHWEST 40% 51% 9% MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR GOVERNOR QUESTION: What is the single most important issue in determining your vote for Governor? ALL MEN WOMEN DEMOCRAT REPUBLICAN INDEPENDENT Education funding 13% 10% 16% 17% 9% 13% Providing Medicaid coverage for the poor and disabled 12% 7% 17% 15% 10% 10% Economy/jobs 12% 10% 14% 13% 8% 15% Taxes/state spending 11% 18% 4% 3% 23% 8% Security/immigration borders 11% 17% 5% 6% 18% 10% Health care 10% 8% 12% 14% 4% 12% Change in direction 7% 6% 8% 8% 4% 8% Ethics of candidates 5% 4% 6% 6% 4% 5% Values/character of candidates 5% 6% 4% 4% 6% 5% Roads and bridge construction 5% 4% 6% 6% 5% 4% Balancing the state budget 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 5% Crime/drugs 3% 4% 2% 2% 3% 4% Abortion/stem cell issue 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% - Other/Not sure 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% QUESTION: What is the second most important issue in determining your vote for Governor? ALL Education funding 14% Economy/jobs 13% Taxes/state spending 12% Providing Medicaid coverage for the poor and disabled 11% Health care 11% Security/immigration borders 10% Change in direction 5% Balancing the state budget 5% Ethics of candidates 4% Values/character of candidates 4% Roads and bridge construction 4% Crime/drugs 3% Abortion/stem cell issue 2% Other/Not sure 2% -- http://www.bransonedge.com http://www.bransonmissouri.blogspot.com